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Scenario clouds - 24h from checkpoint
? How to read this chart. Grey shading is the probability cloud: the outer band holds ~80% of comparable historical outcomes, the inner ~50%. Colored lines are the typical path of each scenario among today's matched days. The white line is the actual price so far. Purple stripes are event windows, blue stripes are session handoffs - the times when price most often leaves one scenario and joins another. Dashed grey line = checkpoint price.
p10-p90p25-p75
bullbear
rangewhipsaw
actual so far
event windowsession handoff
Reading the chart: grey shading = probability bands (outer holds ~80% of similar historical days, inner ~50%) · colored lines = typical path of each scenario · purple stripes = event windows · blue stripes = session handoffs (Asia / London / NY opens) · these stripes mark where price most often leaves one scenario and joins another · white line = actual price.